Fisherman on Lake Michigan also observe "lots" of Alewives at times but it doesn't change the fact that they are only at a small fraction of what the were.
Here is some data to look at: (although this data is from Lake Huron proper, it is still indicative of the forage base in the bay) there is Saginaw Bay specific data out there also, same deal, low densities.
Amount of small fish.
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